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Coffee Futures and Options Weekly Blog & News

 

 

                                                                          

The No Nonsense Guide to Buying and Selling Options

 

 

Coffee futures and options quick facts:

  • 37,500 pound contract size

  • One cent move equals $375

  • Trades March, May July, September, December

  • Coffee futures symbol (KC)

  • For more specific coffee information click here!

 

Here is a brochure from the ICE for coffee C futures and options.

ICE coffee brochure

 

* All of the information herein is the opinion of the writer. No guarantees are being made to its accuracy or completeness.

 

For more up-to-date information contact us.

10/10/14 Coffee futures prices stalled near the contract highs this week. The coffee market is still in a weather market and calls for rain have caused sell offs and calls for dry weather have produced rallies. The strong U.S. dollar does not seem to be having the bearish affect on coffee as it has other commodities.

9/27/14 Coffee futures prices rallied this week. The commodity markets in general have been pressured by the huge rally in the U.S. dollar and the overall weakness in the global economy.

9/20/14 Coffee futures prices sold off again this week. The commodity markets have been very weak over the last month or two as many emerging economies are not growing or growing much more slowly than expected in the case of China. The recent vote in Scotland to secede from the United Kingdom helped push more assets towards the United States. This in turn pushed the U.S. dollar to new highs. The strong dollar is making it very hard for commodity bulls to gain any momentum to the upside.

9/12/14 Coffee futures prices sold off again this week. The recent run up in the U.S. dollar has put a lot of pressure on commodities for the last few weeks. Assets are leaving the European Union among other places around the world seeking safe haven in the United States. The idea that Scotland may declare independence next week from England and the United Kingdom also has assets heading to America.

9/5/14 Coffee futures prices sold off this week. An abundance of good economic reports coming out of the United States and weak economic reports coming out of the European Union is pushing the U.S. dollar higher. The U.S. dollar index hit a level this week not seen since July of 2013. A strong U.S. dollar is bearish for dollar denominated commodities.

8/29/14 Coffee future prices rose this week. The week before the Labor Day weekend is know for its extremely thin volumes as many traders take advantage of the end of summer. Also affecting the markets have been the increased aggression from the group ISIS in Iraq and the Russian incursion into Ukraine. The U.S. dollar has also remained strong as money flees Russia and the Eurozone to the U.S.

8/22/14 Coffee futures prices sold off this week. The news of this week was more ISIS terrorist killings and the idea that the Federal Reserve Bank would hold its interest rates in stasis at least until next year. Many economists believe that rates will not increase until at least the second quarter of 2015.

8/15/14 Coffee futures prices traded mostly sideways this week. The trading week was full of headline risk again as the Russian and Ukraine conflict began to escalate again this week. The 10 year treasury yield hit its lowest level of the year today. This infers a flight to safety into U.S. assets from foreign investors.

8/9/14 Coffee futures prices sold off again this week. The coffee market may have topped since the news out of Brazil was for higher yields than expected after the earlier drought. The commodity markets in general seem to be bottoming after much of the global slowdown seems to be factored into the markets.

8/1/14 Coffee futures prices rallied again this week in spite of the large amount of headline risk hitting the markets this week. The news about the Argentinian default on its debt; stock market sell off; the FOMC meeting; continuing conflict in Russia/Ukraine and Israel/Gaza and ideas that inflation may be coming back pressured many commodity markets this week. The U.S. dollar continues to strengthen.

7/25/14 Coffee futures prices rallied again this week. The recent huge run up in the U.S. dollar index has hurt many commodity markets. The flight to safety to the U.S. dollar because of the turmoil in Russia/Ukraine, Israel/Gaza and Iraq has hindered many commodity prices over the last couple of weeks. U.S. dollar based assets like commodities are inversely correlated to each other and a strengthening U.S. dollar hurts commodity exports.

7/18/14 Coffee futures prices rallied this week. More headline risk added volatility to some of the futures markets again this week. The Malaysian airline that was shot down killing approximately 300 people has much of the world considering harsh sanctions against Russia. Also adding to the mayhem is the Israeli insertion of ground troops in Gaza. This may spread tensions across the region and hinder oil production and exportation. The U.S. dollar seems to be the safe haven currency as an influx of treasury buying boosted the greenback this week.

7/11/14 Coffee futures prices sold off this week. The Brazilian harvest is in full swing at this point and the drought damage that occurred earlier in the year seems to have been over exaggerated. The issues with the Portuguese bank had many investors worried about insolvency and a new round of European Union problems. The escalating conflict between Israel and Lebanon has increased the volatility of many markets.

6/27/14 Coffee futures prices traded mostly higher this week after the recent sell off coinciding with the Brazilian harvest. The U.S. dollar sold off versus the Eurocurrency and the stock market made new highs. The idea that food and energy inflation will persist especially if the U.S. economy begins to strengthen helped some commodities stabilize.

6/20/14 Coffee futures prices traded mostly sideways this week as the sell off seems to have stalled. Headline news risk seems to be in charge of the markets again this week. The intensifying conflict in Iraq; the conclusion of the FOMC meeting; and the surprising jump in the inflation numbers coming out of the commodity price index reports had many commodity markets on the move this week.

6/13/14 Coffee futures rallied this week. Another example of the effects of headline news risk hit the commodity and stock markets this week. The islamic group known as ISIS managed to attack and take over the second largest city in Iraq this week. They looted the central bank and are heading to Baghdad and the southern oil refinery region of the country.

6/6/14 Coffee futures prices sold off this week. The big news this week was the European Central Bank's decision to lower its interest rates. The pushed the U.S. dollar higher which in turn pressured many commodity markets to sell off. The dollar has been strengthening for about a month.

5/30/14 Coffee future prices sold off this week. The recent uptick in inflation numbers did not seem to interest the commodity bulls this week as most commodities were in correction mode. The U.S. dollar has been on a tear to the upside over the last few weeks and this might be the catalyst for many commodities to sell off recently.

5/23/14 Coffee futures sold off this week as the harvest is beginning in Brazil. The recent rise in the U.S. dollar pressured most commodity markets this week. The idea that the Federal Reserve Bank is exiting its quantitative easing campaign has been a catalyst for many markets to sell off.

5/9/14 Coffee futures sold off this week. There was a rally in the U.S. dollar this week which hurt many commodity prices. There is an inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and U.S. dollar denominated commodities. Assets may be leaving the Eurozone seeking safety from the Russia/Ukraine conflict.

5/2/14 Coffee futures prices continued to rise again this week. Most commodity markets were up this week in spite of the FOMC meeting conclusion the quantitative easing was cut back again. The markets for the most part seemed to have factored in further cuts. The Ukraine and Russia conflict continues with more sanctions being proposed by the U.S.

4/26/14 Coffee futures prices continued their meteoric rise this week. There are major concerns about the weather damage to the current coffee crop. The el nino weather event is expected to strengthen which may hamper harvesting that begins in mid May. Commodities in general were strong this week as the U.S. dollar continues to stay weak. The escalation in tensions between the Ukraine and Russia is also affecting the commodity markets.

4/11/14 Coffee futures prices rallied higher this week. There are still concerns about the Brazilian coffee crop and the damage caused by the drought. Commodities in general rallied this week as the stock market fell. This coincided with a precipitous decline in the dollar index.

3/28/14 Coffee future prices rallied this week. The news that the el nino phenomenon may be more intense this year helped push coffee prices higher. The idea that the Brazilian drought may persist is also pushing coffee prices higher.

3/21/14 Coffee futures prices sold off this week. Ideas about potenial rain helping the coffee crop helped push prices lower. Worry about the Russia and Ukraine situation still has many traders on edge and the U.S. dollar rallied sharply this week after the FOMC meeting with the new federal reserve president Janet Yellen spoke. She said in no uncertain terms that after the taper stops interest rates may begin to rise as soon as six months after the conclusion of the fed's tapering regimin.

3/14/14 Coffee futures prices traded mostly higher this week. The drought in Brazil saw some relief as minimal rains hit some of the drought damaged areas but at this stage the yield damage may already be done. Bad economic news out of China and the continuing drama of the Ukraine and Russia stand off has created a lot of market volatility this week.

3/7/13 Coffee futures prices traded higher again this week. The Brazilian drought still has coffee bears on the ropes and prices are still running higher in spite of recent rain. Also helping the commodity markets in general is the weakening U.S. dollar caused by the turmoil between Russia and Ukraine over the Crimean peninsula.

2/21/14 Coffee futures prices traded higher again this week. The drought in Brazil is pushing coffee prices up dramatically as traders are beginning to assume yield damage has already occurred. Commodities in general have been becoming more popular with traders this year and many are rallying. This is happening in spite of the bullish move in the U.S. dollar this week.

2/14/14 Coffee futures prices continued to trade higher this week. Many commodity markets are rallying this week as the U.S. dollar continues to weaken versus the Euro Currency. The idea that the new federal reserve chairwoman will not hesitate to stop tapering and use quantitative easing if the economy begins to slow helped push many markets higher.

2/7/14 Coffee futures prices traded mostly higher this week. The extremely dry conditions in Brazil has speculators piling into the coffee market this week. The weak U.S. economic news this week brought both the stock markets and the U.S. dollar down as money is leaving those assets.

1/15/14 Coffee futures traded mostly lower again this week. In general, the commodity markets are still out of favor but the recent stock market sell off might drive investors to futures and options. The Fed tapering is having the effect on traders to get bearish as the good times during asset expansion by the Fed is about to end.

1/17/14 Coffee futures traded mostly lower this week. The commodity markets in general seem to be receiving interest from investors to start out the new year. It could be that stock investors are expecting a correction and are beginning to diversify their asset classes. The expectation for Fed tapering should be bearish for commodity markets over the near term.

1/10/14 Coffee futures prices traded higher this week. News about troubles in Brazil may have put a bottom over the near term in coffee prices. The recent unemployment report was dismal and has many investors wondering about what the economy, Fed tapering and interest rates will do for the first half of 2014.

1/3/14 Coffee futures prices traded mostly lower this week. Commodities in general sold off this week as a lack of volume had the markets drifting lower. The two weeks encompassing Christmas and New Years are typically very slow as most traders are in holiday mode. The idea that tapering might begin soon also pushed commodities lower.

-T & K Futures and Options Inc.

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 The information presented in this commodity futures and options site is not investment advice and is for informational purposes only. No guarantees are being made to its accuracy or completeness. This information can be considered a solicitation to enter into a derivatives trade. Investing in futures and options carries substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for some people. Past or simulated performance is not indicative to future results.